Dynamics of a stochastic population model with Allee effects under regime switching

*Correspondence: hnujwm@sina.com 1School of Mathematical Science, Huaiyin Normal University, Huaian, P.R. China Abstract A stochastic single-species model with Allee effects under regime switching is developed and detected in the present study. First, extinction and persistence of the model are dissected. Subsequently, sufficient criteria are offered to ensure that the model possesses a unique ergodic stationary distribution. Finally, the theoretical outcomes are employed to evaluate the evolution of the African wild dog (Lycaon pictus) in Africa, and some significant functions of stochastic perturbations are exposed.


Introduction
The Allee effect, which is depicted by a relationship between the per capita growth rate and the population size, is a universal biological phenomenon [2,11,14]. Allee effects happen while populations rely on cooperation or aggregation to hunt, to prevent capture, or to bring up their young [11,14]. For instance, the African wild dogs usually form cooperative groups to hunt [4], suricate (Suricata suricatta) and Pacific salmon (Oncorhynchus spp.) form groups to prevent capture [6,20]. The significance of Allee effects has been admitted in a lot of biological subjects (for example, eco-epidemiology [8], biological invasions [22], and population ecology [7]), and numerous mathematical frameworks have been put forward to dissect the role of Allee effects (see, e.g., [5,11,14,21]). Especially, Takeuchi [21] took advantage of the following equation to test the impacts of Allee effects on the evolution of a population: where Ψ = Ψ (t) means the population size; r indicates the intrinsic growth rate; μ > 0 is the Allee threshold under which the population will become extinct; λ > 0 depicts the environmental carrying capacity. All species in natural environments undulate in an essentially random way, and randomness brings a hazard of extinction [19]. Commonly, puny undulations and medium undulations are two classes of usual undulations in the environments [23]. We first appraise the former. Several authors (see, e.g., [1,9,10,[15][16][17]) have proffered that the puny undulations often act on the parameters in a system, and one could take advantage of the white noise to approximately depict the puny undulations. In this way, in model (1) and accordingly, where η 2 i means the intensity of the white noise, {ξ (t)} t≥0 = {(ξ 1 (t), ξ 2 (t))} t≥0 indicates a Wiener process defined on a complete probability space (Ω, {F t } t≥0 , P) which obeys the usual conditions.
Next we appraise the medium undulations (for instance, the medium variations of rainfall and temperature) which are often encountered by the species. When these medium undulations emerge, the parameter values in a system often jump. For instance, Choristoneura fumiferana (Clemens) reproduces 50% more eggs at 25 • C than at 15 • C [3]. These medium undulations cannot be portrayed by (2) [12,[15][16][17]. Mathematically, one may employ a finite-state Markov chain to portray these medium undulations [12,13,[15][16][17]. Denote by θ = θ (t) a right-continuous irreducible Markov chain which is independent of {ξ (t)} t≥0 . Then we can deduce from Eq. (2) that During recent decades, there has been growing interest in extinction, persistence, and stability of population models [23]. However, little research has been conducted to appraise these behaviors of (2) and (3). The present study detects these behaviors of (2): we first dissect the extinction and persistence of model (2) in Sect. 2, and then offer sufficient criteria to ensure that model (3) possesses a unique ergodic stationary distribution (UESD) in Sect. 3; in Sect. 4, we make use of the theoretical outcomes to evaluate the evolution of the African wild dog (Lycaon pictus) in Africa and expose some significant functions of puny undulations and medium undulations.
We first offer the criteria for extinction of Eq. (3).

Stationary distribution
Now we provide sufficient criteria to ensure that model (3) possesses a UESD.

Real world applications
In this section we employ the theoretical outcomes (i.e., Theorems 1, 2, and 3) to evaluate the evolution of the African wild dog (Lycaon pictus) in Africa. In accordance with prior investigations [4,9], Due to the fact that χ(1) + Π(1) < 0, Theorem 1 implies that the dogs in state 1 become extinct (see Fig. 1(a), which manifests that the extinction happens in about 85 years), and accordingly, state 1 is an extinction state. At the same time, note that χ(2) > 0, Theorem 2 and Theorem 3 indicate that this species in state 2 is SP and possesses a UESD (see Fig. 1(b)), and accordingly, state 2 is a persistence state. Figures 1(a) and 1(b) reflect that the puny undulations on the growth rate bring a hazard of extinction for the dogs. Let us now choose different values of σ .

Conclusions
Evaluating the functions of environmental undulations on the evolution of species is an attractive topic in ecology [19]. The present study has taken advantage of the white noise and the Markovian switching to portray the puny undulations and medium undulations in the environment, respectively, and has put forward a stochastic population model with Allee effects under regime switching. For this model, the criteria for extinction, persis-tence, and the existence of a UESD have been offered. The findings uncover that these properties of system (3)  Accordingly, the puny undulations on the growth rate bring a hazard of extinction. This is consistent with the prior studies (see, e.g., [19]). -If the Markov chain θ (t) expends much time on the persistence states such thatχ > 0, then model (3) is persistent and possesses a UESD; if θ (t) expends much time on the extinction states such thatχ +Π < 0, then the species represented by system (3) is dangerous. At the end of this paper, we would like to mention that we have not examined the casē χ +Π > 0 >χ . In this case, the results are too complicated to research at the present stage. This issue deserves a fuller treatment in subsequent analyses.