Theory and Modern Applications
From: Reproduction number projection for the COVID-19 pandemic
 | Estimated UK basic reproduction number (\({}^{UK}\widehat{\mathcal{R}}_{0}(wt)\)) | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
\({}^{UK}\widehat{\mathcal{R}}_{0}\) | 3.0 | 3.4 | 3.8 | 4.1 | 4.2 | 4.5 |
p | 7 × 10−15 | 5 × 10−11 | 4 × 10−6 | 0.02 | 0.13 | 0.24 |
\(\mu _{d}\) | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | −0.1 |
\(CI_{d}\) | [0.6,0.8] | [0.4,0.6] | [0.2,0.4] | [0.0,0.25] | [0.0,0.2] | [−0.2,0] |